Why the two numbers get added together
Running produces a great deal of heat, and almost all of it leaves through sweat evaporating. Two things decide whether that works: how hot the air is, and how much water it is already carrying. Temperature alone misses the second one entirely, which is why 95°F in Arizona and 77°F in Florida can cost a runner the same amount.
Adding temperature to dew point is a crude way of combining them, and it works well enough to have become standard in coaching. It is not a physical quantity — nobody claims 143 means anything on its own. It is an index that happens to sort days in roughly the order runners experience them.
Worked example: the same session, two climates
- Phoenix, 6pm
- 95°F, 20% humidity → dew point 48°F → sum 143
- Orlando, 6am
- 77°F, 70% humidity → dew point 66°F → sum 143
What to change besides pace
The percentage handles the clock. These handle the rest of it:
- Start earlier rather than later. The dew point barely falls in the evening, while the temperature does — but the ground has been absorbing heat all day. Dawn is usually the best window, and the hottest part of the day explains why 6pm is not the mirror of 6am.
- Take the effort target, not the pace target. On a threshold session, run the effort and let the pace be whatever it is. Trying to force the pace in heat converts a threshold run into an interval session.
- Shorten the reps, not the rest. Cutting recovery in the heat is the fastest way to end a workout early.
- Give it two weeks. Most of the adaptation to heat happens in 10 to 14 days of exposure, and it is substantial: plasma volume rises, sweating starts sooner and at a lower salt concentration. Heat acclimatization covers what changes and how quickly it is lost.
Where the table stops
At a sum above 180°F the guidance is no longer a percentage. That corresponds to conditions like 95°F with 70% humidity — a heat index around 125°F, which is the top of the Danger band. At that point the honest adjustment is not a slower pace but a different plan.
Running in the heat covers the decision in full, including the signs that a run should be abandoned mid-session.